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China and the American Circus

The territorial control of energy resources

"We too have a grand strategy from which regional strategies derive. We need to confront China in two decades from now, before China gets on par with us from the technological point of view. However, we need first to rethink the implications for interstate energy relations in a world which is transitioning towards renewable energy. Basically, our grand strategy relies on taking China into a war in two decades"

"Russia is no more a main contender within the Cold War II framework. Central Asia is being readily and increasingly falling into Chinese hands by means of building major infrastructures, particularly pipelines and 'silk roads' and therefore the Russians would be more than happy if we engage in a war with China; actually, the meddling with US elections had
that one goal: to get The Idiot in the White House in order for him to confront the Chinese. But the timing was wrong. It is SV17q position to reframe the operations such that by 2050 we should be fully ready for a devastating preemptive war against China based on airspace denial and in-silo detonation of Chinese ICBMs, and that means we need to have a new Idiot ruling US by that time. Not before."

"We have clearly opposed any shift to renewable energies because the current paradigm is based on one single fact: that the geographically fixed and finite nature of fossil fuel resources, their general reliance on large centralized production and processing installations, and their ease of storage and transportation as solids, liquids, or gases around the globe, allow us to easily protect those assets with our current military technology. Renewable energy production, on the other hand, lends itself more to decentralized generation and involves rare earth materials in clean tech equipment while requiring a clearly different distribution infrastructure which is difficult to protect from hostile attacks. It is only now that we have advance and radically new military technologies that we could guarantee protection of those assets, and thus we conclude a war against China by around 2050 is our best option"

"Look, energy geopolitics revolves around depleting and geographically concentrated oil and gas reserves in politically unstable countries either in the Middle East and North-Africa and Central Asia and Caspian Region. We've been introducing the needed instability in those countries as required. Our problem is that Russia is clearly lagging in developing renewable energies and therefore they are reluctant to leave their oligopolistic markets as a net-producer of gas and oil. We expect the Russians to remain formally neutral yet covertly supportive in the implementation of the grand strategy, though"

"The development of MilOrbs, and the associated progress in AI systems and nanomaterials, is clearly a game changer shaping the future energy geopolitics, but it is not enough. We also need a favorable social climate that guarantees social support for our military activities in the future. This means we need to increase the number of Idiots in top policy-making positions, and this is why you should expect to see more and more idiots as prime ministers"

"there exists a distorted exchange rate between the yuan on the one hand and the euro and dollar on the other hand which does not reflect the real economic position of China. Moreover, China has so many energy plants working on coal that they can afford a low price for electricity. The labour cost in China is also low at the expense of civil and labor rights. This means energy plants and the Three Gorges Dam will be a key military target during the first days of attack"

"China is deliberately pursuing a policy to protect its own rare earth reserves. This creates potential dependencies, and will force other countries to be more subservient to China"s wishes as only the less dependent actor in an asymmetrical relationship uses its dominant position to coerce concessions from the more dependent actor, for example, by threatening or actually enacting disruptions to trade."

"A decentralized global autonomous renewable energy system means nothing if you don't get rid of central banks and a centralized greedy banking system, something you could do if you implement a sound global cryptocurrency-based system which, in turn, is infeasible because by its very nature cryptocurrency mining is a highly energy-intensive activity. Your only way ahead would be a space-based cryptocurrency system, but satellites make a nice target both for antisat platforms and hackers. Accept it: you'll never become a Type-1 civilization unless you really and truly get rid of the very concept of 'money'. If you wish a true paradigm shift, start by removing the concept of 'money'."

"We've learned a lot during the past five years. See, one thing we've learned is that the rise of renewables depends ever less on the "push" of governmental regulations and ever more on the "pull" of market forces. This shift is disruptive to the oil industry and spells trouble for the major producer. The switch away from oil puts into question old assumptions of oil economics, and requires a damn new way of making war. During the stress tests we tested how cities reacted to a power outage; we used PSVs to cause outages in Darwin (Australia), the entire Northeastern US, Chile, Brazil, Cyprus, Turkey, Canada, and even entire countries like Iceland, Venezuela, Indonesia, and half of India. Never wonder why China has never been tested on? I'll tell you: because we wish them to believe they have a stable power grid."

"We designed, funded, and launched the global climate change denial groups not because we doubted global warming was an unfounded claim; on the contrary, we knew climate change was a coming reality, but we needed time to refine our predictive models and run simulations in order to know how the shift to renawable energies would impact our global strategy. We now have a roughly clear idea on the future's landscape and what to do to adapt to it. We know where the scarce water resources will be, we know where renewables will be feasible and where not, and we know where to locate hubs and how the supergrid will be arranged. And we are acting accordingly, now."

"China dreams of leading by 2050 a number of international institutions that will shape the global energy landscape. That would mean less transparency in emissions reporting and an improvement of its emissions targets, something we are not ready to tolerate. In the future, countries will embrace protectionism as clean energy industries rise in value, and that means the end of free trade. Maybe is time for us to place a new Idiot as prime minister there as a first step for its disintegration. And if that fails, then there will be no other way than a war. That's the grand strategy: preserving Sol-3 at the expense of humans, if required."

"It is always the same, presidents and prime ministers are either ambitious individuals who have received their training at prestigious diplomatic schools, and who see themselves as the ones ultimately in charge of their nation"s independence, or dumb clowns businessmen ruling a country; in either case, they all have a head and if you put a bullet in it that's the end for those presidents and prime ministers. You see, we cannot leave the future of the planet in the hands of people who die if a bullet gets into their heads, especially when the cost of a bullet is a mere $0.05"

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