Modelling future worlds - Tracking reality to model global collapse
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Modelling future worlds
Tracking reality to model global collapse


Models consistently forecast collapse after 2050, with a peak around 2075, largely based around climate change impacts within a fossilized geopolitical framework, with features akin to the LTG comprehensive technology scenario. The conclusion is that in order to extend current civilization lifetime to around 2120, that geopolitical framework must be changed, either "silently" (selective elimination of current political actors) or abruptly (total devastation of large industrial complexes in Western countries and the Gulf).

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The main parameters to control are population (actually, you can only control depopulation); food supply per capita (by interrupting logistics vectors), industrial output per capita (by disrupting or directly destroying industrial complexes), services per capita (by implementing the orb-based energetic blackout acting on the power grid), fraction of non-renewable resources available (through hostile geoengineering activities), and persistent global pollution.

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different social dynamics might become relevant to either exaggerate or ameliorate the collapse either by forcing social models through global leadership, or by generating regional and global wars, while carefully shaping people's beliefs and views.

Means to make doubtful what it would otherwise be obvious, that is what truth supression is all about. Modern society has shown some capacity to deal with long-term threats, at least if they are obvious or continuously brought to attention, and that is why truth supression is so essential for the global collapse to succeed.

collapse is not avoided according to our predictions but simply delayed by one to two decades, and when it occurs the speed of decline is even greater. We estimate that by 2075 the collapse will be visible to the general population, which implies we need to reinforce the mind shaping and truth management strategies starting 2030, with a convenient disclousure around 2100 in order to make collapse unavoidable and global.

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The change in the global energetic model has already been successfully blocked by forcing a lack of credit for funding any coordinated transition.

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